不精确的信息和金融环境:区间概率方法

K. Engemann, H. Miller, R. Yager
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在金融环境中有很多不精确的信息;例如,在预测经济情景,以评估投资的潜在回报或优化资产配置。我们提供了一种新的方法,它可以用在以区间概率的形式给出自然状态的可能性的情况下。我们的方法结合了决策者的行为倾向。
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Imprecise information and financial environments: an interval probability approach
There is much imprecise information in financial environments; for example, in forecasting economic scenarios in order to assess the potential payoff of an investment or to optimize asset allocation. We provide a new methodology which may be used in situations in which the likelihood of a state of nature is given in the form of an interval probability. Our approach incorporates the behavioral disposition of the decision maker.
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