利用人工神经网络评估青光眼手术再治疗的必要性和类型

A. Chuprov, E. Borshchuk, D. Begun, I. Bolodurina, L. Grishina, A. O. Lositskiy
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The development and statistical analysis of the factors associated with repeated surgical operations was carried out, a model for predicting the probability of repeated operations was created, mathematical modeling of the onset of complications depending on the identified factors was carried out using the method of constructing classification trees. The resulting model was used to assess the need for surgical treatment in patient registered in clinic in 2019. Cases of specialized medical care have been identified, in which, with a high degree of probability, long-term compensation of the pathological course of glaucoma will not occur and repeated surgical treatment will be required. These cases were copied into a separate database for further work. The preferred reoperation method for patient management was selected using an artificial neural network. Results. 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摘要

的相关性。评价青光眼患者治疗方法的选择问题在医学文献中被广泛报道,但目前还没有关于治疗完全或部分无效时再手术的指征和决策的出版物。目的。描述一种利用人工神经网络评估青光眼手术治疗中再次手术的必要性和类型的方法。材料和方法。选择2018 -2020年青光眼患者观察治疗7801例。对重复手术相关因素进行了开发和统计分析,建立了重复手术概率预测模型,利用构建分类树的方法对识别出的因素对并发症发生的影响进行了数学建模。将所得模型用于评估2019年门诊登记患者的手术治疗需求。已经确定了专门医疗护理的病例,这些病例在很大程度上不会发生青光眼病理过程的长期补偿,而需要反复手术治疗。这些案例被复制到一个单独的数据库中,以供进一步研究。采用人工神经网络对患者进行再手术治疗。结果。已经确定了与再手术有统计学意义相关的许多因素,并建立了人工神经网络模型来预测青光眼再手术的类型。将所得方法应用于2019 - 2021年在诊所接受治疗的患者,可以预测3年随访期内再手术的概率为5%,而需要治疗的患者分布如下:微瘘深巩膜切除术异体引流- 88.37%,选择性激光小梁成形术- 6.98%,经巩膜光凝- 4.65%。结论。所获得的方法可以预测青光眼再次治疗的可能性和所需的手术类型。考虑到所获得模型的特异性和敏感性,有必要增加观察次数,进一步对既往手术青光眼提供医疗服务的各个方面进行临床和组织研究,并评估引入该方法的临床和经济效果。关键词:青光眼,人工神经网络,评估方法
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Method for assessing the need and type of surgical re-treatment in glaucoma using an artificial neural network
Relevance. The problem of evaluating the choice of treatment method for patients with glaucoma is widely covered in the medical literature, but currently there are no publications on indications and decision making about reoperation in case of complete or partial ineffectiveness of the treatment. Purpose. To describe a method for assessing the need and type of reoperation in the surgical treatment of glaucoma using an artificial neural network. Material and methods. 7801 cases of observation and treatment of patients diagnosed with glaucoma were selected for 2018 –2020. The development and statistical analysis of the factors associated with repeated surgical operations was carried out, a model for predicting the probability of repeated operations was created, mathematical modeling of the onset of complications depending on the identified factors was carried out using the method of constructing classification trees. The resulting model was used to assess the need for surgical treatment in patient registered in clinic in 2019. Cases of specialized medical care have been identified, in which, with a high degree of probability, long-term compensation of the pathological course of glaucoma will not occur and repeated surgical treatment will be required. These cases were copied into a separate database for further work. The preferred reoperation method for patient management was selected using an artificial neural network. Results. A number of factors that are statistically significantly associated with reoperation have been identified, and an artificial neural network model has been created to predict the type of reoperation in glaucoma. Application of the obtained method on patients who received treatment at the clinic in 2019 –2021 years made it possible to predict the probability of reoperation within a three-year follow-up period in 5%, while among the patients the need for treatment was distributed as follows: microfistulizing deep sclerectomy with allodrainage – 88.37%, selective laser trabeculoplasty – 6.98%, transscleral cyclophotocoagulation – 4.65%. Conclusion. The obtained method allows predicting the probability of re-treatment of glaucoma and the type of surgery required. Considering the specificity and sensitivity of the obtained models, it is necessary to increase the number of observations, further clinical and organizational study of aspects of the provision of medical services in previously operated glaucoma, and an assessment of the clinical and economic effect of the introduction of this method. Keywords: glaucoma, artificial neural network, assessment method
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