稳健的失真风险措施

C. Bernard, Silvana M. Pesenti, S. Vanduffel
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引用次数: 11

摘要

在做出充分知情的风险管理决策时,风险度量对潜在损失分布变化的鲁棒性(分布不确定性)至关重要。在本文中,我们量化了任何给定的失真风险,通过推导其可达到值的范围来衡量其对分布不确定性的鲁棒性,当潜在的损失分布具有已知的均值和方差,并且在参考分布周围通过Wasserstein距离指定的球内。我们扩展了我们的结果,以解释前两个时刻的不确定性,并提供了一个建模风险评估的应用程序。
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Robust Distortion Risk Measures
Robustness of risk measures to changes in underlying loss distributions (distributional uncertainty) is of crucial importance when making well-informed risk management decisions. In this paper, we quantify for any given distortion risk measure its robustness to distributional uncertainty by deriving its range of attainable values when the underlying loss distribution has a known mean and variance and furthermore lies within a ball - specified through the Wasserstein distance - around a reference distribution. We extend our results to account for uncertainty in the first two moments and provide an application to model risk assessment.
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