撤销通知随机影响因素重要性排序的可靠性敏感性研究

Lai Xiongming, Wu Zhenghui
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在可靠性分析中,对可靠性起重要作用的影响因素主要包括两个方面:影响因素本身的随机性对可靠性的影响以及其与其他影响因素的随机性相结合的耦合影响。考虑到以上两方面的影响,本文定义了两种可靠性灵敏度,即单一可靠性灵敏度和综合可靠性灵敏度,用于估计各变量对可靠性的影响。为了提高上述方法的计算效率,扩大其适用性,特别是针对极限状态函数隐式求解耗费计算机仿真时间较多的情况,本文提出了一种将克里格模型与蒙特卡罗仿真相结合的可靠性灵敏度快速计算方法。算例表明,两种方法的计算结果吻合良好,具有较好的工程应用价值。
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Notice of RetractionResearch on reliability sensitivity for ranking the importance of random influential factors
During the reliability analysis, the influential factors that play important role on reliability, mainly contain two aspects: the influence of the randomicity of the influential factors itself on reliability and its coupling influence combined with the randomicity of other influential factors on reliability. Considering the above two aspects of influence, two kinds of reliability sensitivity, including single reliability sensitivity and synthetical reliability sensitivity, are defined in this paper for estimating the influence of each variable on reliability. To improve the computation efficiency of the above methods and expand their applicability, especially aiming at solving the case that the limit state function is implicit and its solution consumes much time of computer simulation, a fast method for computing reliability sensitivity by combining the kriging model with Monte Carlo simulation is presented in this paper. As shown by the example, agreement between results computed by both methods appears very good and the proposed methods are efficient and available for engineering application.
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