更长时间持有比特币:比特币的动态对冲能力

W. Chan, Minh Le, Yan Wendy Wu
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引用次数: 110

摘要

本文研究了比特币是否可以对冲和分散对欧元斯托克指数、日经指数、上海a股、标准普尔500指数和多伦多证券交易所指数的风险,并研究了这些能力在不同数据频率下的动态变化。对2010年10月至2017年10月的日、周、月收益使用两两GARCH模型和常数条件相关模型。我们发现,在月度数据频率下,比特币对所有这些指数都是有效的强对冲。然而,每日和每周的回报并没有显示出强大的对冲属性。进一步的频率依赖模型测试表明,比特币回报在中等数据频率上对标普指数和欧元指数有很强的对冲作用,在低数据频率上对上海a股也有很强的对冲作用。
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Holding Bitcoin Longer: The Dynamic Hedging Abilities of Bitcoin
This paper investigates whether Bitcoin can hedge and diversify risk against the Euro STOXX, Nikkei, Shanghai A-Share, S&P 500, and the TSX Index, and examines the dynamics of these abilities over different data frequencies. Pairwise GARCH models and constant conditional correlation models are used for daily, weekly, and monthly returns from October 2010 to October 2017. We find that Bitcoin is an effective strong hedge for all these indices under monthly data frequency. However, daily and weekly returns do not demonstrate strong hedge properties. Further frequency dependence model tests reveal that Bitcoin returns are strong hedgings against S&P and Euro indices over medium data frequency, and also against the Shanghai A-Share over low data frequency.
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