金融市场与遗传变异

E. Cardella, Ivalina Kalcheva, Danjue Shang
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引用次数: 6

摘要

我们调查了一个国家的遗传变异程度对各国金融市场活动中观察到的差异的影响程度。我们假设遗传变异可以通过其对总投资行为、金融部门创新和生产率的影响来影响金融市场。我们在国家层面的横断面分析揭示了一个国家预测的遗传变异与其金融市场规模之间的显著驼峰形关系。这一结果与一种猜想是一致的,即在相对中等程度的遗传变异中,国家内部相关的中等程度的信任和冒险导致了最大的投资流入公共金融市场。我们的结果对于金融市场规模的不同衡量标准、几种回归规范以及包括法律来源、制度特征、文化、自然禀赋和贸易开放等广泛控制因素都是稳健的。我们的主要研究结果似乎仅限于股票市场(相对于债券市场),其中存在相对更多的不确定性,因此,信任和冒险相对更重要。另外的分析表明,更好的整体国家一级治理可以缓和遗传变异在塑造股票市场规模方面的作用。
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Financial Markets and Genetic Variation
We investigate the extent to which a country’s degree of genetic variation contributes to the observed variation in financial market activity across countries. We postulate that genetic variation can affect financial markets through its impact on aggregate investment behavior, innovation in the financial sector, and productivity. Our country-level, cross-sectional analysis reveals a significant hump-shaped relation between a country’s predicted genetic variation and the size of its financial markets. This result is consistent with the conjecture that at relatively intermediate degrees of genetic variation, the associated intermediate levels of trust and risk-taking within the country result in the largest investment flows into public financial markets. Our results are robust to different measres of financial market size, several regression specifications, and the inclusion of a broad range of controls such as legal origin, institutional characteristics, culture, natural endowment, and trade openness. Our main findings appear to be restricted specifically to equity markets (vs. debt markets) where there is relatively more uncertainty and, thus, trust and risk-taking are relatively more important. Additional analysis suggests that better overall country-level governance can moderate the role that genetic variation plays in shaping equity market size.
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