基于投资者情绪的货币政策对股市的传导效应研究

Xin Jin, Mengting Li, Tianxi Jin
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要:股票市场研究在资本市场和风险控制中具有重要的作用。针对货币政策对股票市场的显著影响,本文通过建立VAR模型,研究货币政策对股票市场的影响,以及投资者情绪对货币政策传导效果的影响。本文还结合样本区间的具体事件,运用结构突变模型,分阶段分析了货币政策和投资者情绪对股价的影响。研究发现,投资者情绪对货币政策传导有较大影响,而货币政策对股市的影响并不总是存在,影响相对较小。
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Research on the Conducting Effect of Monetary Policy on Stock Market Based on Investor Sentiment
Abstract—The research of stock market plays an important role in capital market and risk control. For the significant impact on the stock market, this paper studies the effect of monetary policy on the stock market as well as the effect of investor sentiment on the conducting effect of monetary policy by establishing VAR model. This paper also analyses the influence of monetary policy and investor sentiment on stock price in stages by combining specific events in the sample interval and using the structural mutation model. The study reveals that investor sentiment will greatly impact on the transmission of monetary policy, And with a relatively small influence, the impact of monetary policy on the stock market is not always present.
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