非洲国家结构趋同:经验证据

Ali BAKO OUSMANE, M. Şi̇şman
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摘要

本文旨在调查1994-2019年期间选定的非洲国家的结构性收敛。利用48个非洲国家的面板数据和几种估计方法[面板校正标准误差(PCSE)、可行广义最小二乘(FGLS)、tobit模型、工具变量和格兰杰非因果关系],结果表明非洲存在部门结构趋同现象,即部门结构的相似性越来越大,而收入差距正在缩小。本文还强调了服务业相对生产率水平较低,工业部门劳动力吸引力较低,尽管劳动力从农业部门和较高的相对生产率水平转移。为了解决这个问题,必须发展和获得人力和物质资本,以发展工业部门和提高服务部门的生产力。
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Structural Convergence between African Countries: Empirical Evidence
This paper aims to investigate structural convergence in selected African countries over the period 1994-2019. Using panel data for 48 African countries and several estimation methods [Panel-Corrected Standard Errors (PCSE), Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS), tobit model, instrumental variable, and Granger non-causality], the results show the existence of the phenomenon of sectoral structural convergence in Africa, i.e. a greater similarity in sectoral structures while income gaps are narrowing. The paper also highlights the service sector's low relative productivity level and industrial sector's low labor force attractiveness despite a significant shift in labor from the agricultural sector and a higher level of relative productivity respectively. To address this issue, the development and acquisition of human and physical capital would be necessary to develop the industrial sector and increase the service sector's productivity.
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