减龄预防性维修下可修系统故障间隔时间随机变量生成方法

ICINCO-RA Pub Date : 2009-07-02 DOI:10.5220/0002219903250330
Chun-Yuan Cheng, R. Guo, Mei-Ling Liu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在理论模型的基础上,由于每次预防性维修后系统的危险率函数发生变化,使得理论模型变得复杂,因此通常需要采用数值方法来获得退化系统的最优预防性维修策略。这使得理论模型的应用不适合实际情况。此外,理论模型假设使用无限时间跨度来获得长期预期失效次数。然而,在现实中,不断恶化的系统总是有一个有限的寿命。因此,与无限的时间跨度相比,可能无法得到最优解。因此,我们考虑使用仿真方法来获得近似最优PM策略的范围。仿真方法中获得近似最优PM策略的关键步骤是随机变量(RV)的生成。针对具有减龄效应的有限时间跨度预防性维修模型,提出了三种方法来生成所需的故障间隔时间(TBF) rv。对比所生成的RV的离散度,发现三种RV生成方法之间没有显著差异。而拒绝法是获得接近最优PM策略的最简单方法。本文还给出了近似最优PM策略的实例。
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Random Variates Generating Methods of Time-between-failures for the Repairable Systems under Age-reduction Preventive Maintenance
Based on the theoretical model, a numerical method is usually necessary for obtaining the optimal preventive maintenance (PM) policy for a deteriorating system since the theoretical model becomes complicated when the system’s hazard rate function is changed after each PM. It makes the application of the theoretical model not suitable for real cases. Moreover, the theoretical model assumes using infinite time span to obtain the long-term expected number of failures. Yet, in reality, the deteriorating systems always have a finite life time. Hence, an optimal solution might not be resulted as compared to the infinite time span. Therefore, we consider using the simulation method to obtain a range of the near-optimal PM policy. The critical step of the simulation method for obtaining a near-optimal PM policy is the generation of the random variates (RV). In this research, three methods are developed to generate the required RVs of the time-between-failures (TBF) for the finite-time-span preventive maintenance model with age reduction effect. It is found that there are no significant differences among three proposed RV generating methods when comparing the dispersion of the generated RV’s. However, the rejection method is the simplest method for obtaining the near-optimal PM policies. Examples of the near-optimal PM policies are also presented in this paper.
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