货币政策、所有制歧视与非金融企业杠杆分化

Xun Han, Sichao Ma, Sara Hsu, Yuyan Jiang
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摘要

本文利用2007 - 2017年非金融类上市公司数据,系统分析了银行信贷歧视下货币政策对非金融类企业杠杆分化的影响。结果表明,银行信贷歧视会放大国有企业与非金融企业之间的杠杆差异,且在有政治关系和政府补贴的企业、经济资源市场化配置程度低、政府管理效率低、融资成本高的地区,这种影响更为显著。与适度宽松的货币政策相比,紧缩的货币政策会放大国有企业与非国有企业的杠杆分化程度;但是,货币政策的温和化、银行家信心指数的提高和央行有效性的增强,会在一定程度上削弱货币政策对国有企业和非国有企业杠杆分化的积极作用。进一步讨论发现,无论是宽松货币政策时期还是紧缩货币政策时期,银行信贷歧视都会放大国有企业与非国有企业的财务杠杆分化程度,但对经营杠杆分化没有显著影响。因此,我们从资金使用的角度来识别现阶段非金融企业金融化、金融与实体经济脱钩的现象。政策含义是货币政策应在去杠杆化过程中得到考虑,央行应加强沟通,稳定公众预期。同时,监管机构应关注异质性企业之间的结构性杠杆分化。
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Monetary Policy, Ownership Discrimination and Leverage Differentiation of Non-financial Enterprises
This paper systematically analyzes the impact of monetary policy on non-financial enterprises’ leverage differentiation under bank credit discrimination, taking advantage of data provided by non-financial listed companies from 2007 to 2017. The results show that bank credit discrimination will enlarge the leverage differentiation between state-owned enterprises and non-financial enterprises, and this effect is more significant in the enterprises with political connections and government subsidies, in the regions with low market-oriented allocation of economic resources, inefficient government administration and high financing costs. Compared with moderately loose monetary policy, tightening monetary policy will enlarge the degree of leverage differentiation between state-owned enterprises and non-state-owned enterprises; however, the moderation of monetary policy, increase in the bankers’ confidence index and greater effectiveness of the central bank will weaken the positive effect of monetary policy on the leverage differentiation of state-owned enterprises and non-state-owned enterprises to some extent. Further discussions find that bank credit discrimination will enlarge the degree of financial leverage differentiation between state-owned enterprises and non-state-owned enterprises whether in the period of loose monetary policy or tightening monetary policy, but has no significant effect on operational leverage differentiation. Hence, we identify the phenomenon of non-financial enterprises’ financialization and disassociation of finance from the real economy at this stage from the perspective of fund usage. Policy implications are that monetary policy should be accounted for in the process of de-leveraging, central bank communication should be strengthened and public expectations stabilized. At the same time, regulators should pay attention to the structural leverage differentiation among heterogeneous enterprises.
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