基于agent的电力批发市场模型

E. Rashidova
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文采用基于主体的模型对免费电力市场进行了研究。其目的是创建一个简单而相当合理的市场模拟模型,在这个模型中,参与双边拍卖的供应商和买家学会提交最有利可图的报价。国外研究人员已经为欧盟和美国市场开发了这种仿真模型,但还没有为俄罗斯市场开发出这种模型。本文提出的日前市场中基于agent的理论交互模型使用了Erev和Roth学习算法,并允许我们计算和分析均衡价格、均衡容量、均衡社会福利及其在电力买卖双方之间的分配。建模表明,如果学习代理可以提交任何出价,则有可能降低价格并重新分配有利于买家的社会福利。
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Agent-Based Modeling of Wholesale Electricity Market
The article investigates the free electricity market via agent-based modeling. The aim is to create a simple and quite plausible simulation model of the market, where suppliers and buyers, participating in the bilateral auction, learn to submit the most profitable bids. Whereas this kind of simulation models has been developed for the EU and USA markets by foreign researchers, for the Russian market they have not been made yet. The suggested theoretical agent-based model of interaction in the day-ahead market uses Erev and Roth learning algorithm and allows us to calculate and analyze equilibrium price, volume, social welfare and its distribution between buyers and sellers of electricity. The modeling demonstrates that it is possible to lower prices and redistribute social welfare in favor of buyers, provided that the learning agents can submit any bids.
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