经济政策的不确定性如何影响企业债务期限?

Xiang Li, Dan Su
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文研究了经济政策不确定性是否以及如何影响企业债务期限。利用1996年至2010年法国、德国、西班牙和意大利的跨国企业数据集,我们发现经济政策不确定性的增加与债务期限的缩短显著相关。具体来说,经济政策不确定性每增加1%,长期资产负债率就会下降0.22%,债务到期时间就会减少0.08%。此外,经济政策不确定性对创新密集型企业的影响更大。我们利用企业改变债务期限的灵活性和对杠杆目标的偏离来衡量因果关系,并确定投资减少和期限结构变陡是传导机制。
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How Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Affect Corporate Debt Maturity?
This paper investigates whether and how economic policy uncertainty affects corporate debt maturity. Using a cross-country firm-level dataset for France, Germany, Spain, and Italy from 1996 to 2010, we find that an increase in economic policy uncertainty is significantly associated with a shortened debt maturity. Specifically, a 1% increase in economic policy uncertainty is associated with a 0.22% decrease in the long-term debt-to-assets ratio and a 0.08% decrease in debt maturity. Moreover, the impacts of economic policy uncertainty are stronger for innovation-intensive firms. We use firms' flexibility in changing debt maturity and the deviation to leverage target to gauge the causal relationship, and identify the reduced investment and steepened term structure as transmission mechanisms.
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