利用机器学习技术进行短期负荷预测

Sonakshi Dua, Shaurya Gautam, Mahi Garg, Rajendra Mahla, Mrityunjay Chaudhary, S. Vadhera
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引用次数: 1

摘要

随着近年来电力系统技术和科学的进步,对负荷预测的需求越来越大。本文主要讨论短期负荷预测,它是指在几分钟到一周的时间间隔内对系统负荷需求的预测。随着机器学习的出现,需求预测的过程变得更加容易和具有成本效益。预测未来需求的挑战可以被描述为一个回归问题,因此使用支持向量回归的方法,因为它在最近的研究中被证明是一种鲁棒的方法。不同的神经网络也被用于不同的领域;本文讨论了两种不同方法得到的结果。讨论了不同算法的结果之间的比较,以便得到一个全面的了解。这些方法有详尽的解释。本文还讨论了直接影响负荷预测的因素。
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Short Term Load Forecasting using Machine Learning Techniques
With recent technological and scientific advancements in the power systems, there has been a tandem need for load forecasting. This paper mainly discusses short-term load forecasting, which refers to the prediction of the system load demand over an interval ranging between minutes ahead to one week ahead. With advent of Machine Learning, the process of demand prediction has become easier and cost effective. The challenge of predicting the future demand can be characterized as a regression problem, hence the method of Support Vector Regression is used, as it has proved to be a robust method in the recent research. Different Neural Networks are also being used in several domains; hence Deep Neural Network has also been used to test the accuracy, The paper discusses the results obtained by two different methods. The comparison between the outcomes of the different algorithms has been discussed, in order to get a thorough understanding. The methods are explained vastly. The paper also discusses the factors affecting load forecasting directly.
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