一个单因素马尔可夫函数利率模型的实现

Baptiste Truchot
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摘要

利率市场在过去的三十年里,无论是在交易量还是在交易合约的多样性方面,都得到了极大的扩展。衍生品日益复杂,意味着需要复杂的模型来为这些产品定价和对冲。在利率建模中可以区分出三种主要方法。短期利率模型通过指定单一利率(即期利率或瞬时即期利率)的动态来模拟利率期限结构的动态,从中可以计算出任何时间点的整个期限结构。在这些模型中,衍生品的价格是被建模的基础过程的相当复杂的函数。这一事实使得这些模型难以校准。然而,短期利率过程很容易遵循,因此实施是直接的。与短期利率模型不同,市场模型是根据与可交易资产直接相关的市场利率制定的。因此,它们比短期利率模型表现出更好的校准特性。然而,它们在结构上是高维的,实现起来很繁琐。1999年,Hunt, Kennedy和Pelsser引入了马尔可夫函数模型(Markov-Functional Models, MFM),旨在开发能够匹配尽可能多的市场价格的模型,同时保持短期利率模型在计算衍生品价格方面的效率。在第三节对两种主要范式进行了总体概述之后,本报告将重点介绍马尔可夫函数模型。第四节提出了总体框架。然后在第五节中分析了与单因素MFM模型实现相关的几个问题。最后,我们将在第六节中展示该单因素模型模拟的一些数值结果。
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Implementation of a One-Factor Markov-Functional Interest Rate Model
The interest rate market has been expanding immensely for thirty years, both in term of volumes and diversity of traded contracts. The growing complexity of derivatives has implied a need for sophisticated models in order to price and hedge these products. Three main approaches can be distinguished in interest rates modeling. Short-rate models model the dynamics of the term structure of interest rates by specifying the dynamics of a single rate (the spot rate or the instantaneous spot rate) from which the whole term structure at any point in time can be calculated. The prices of derivatives in these models are quite involved functions of the underlying process which is being modeled. This fact makes these models difficult to calibrate. However the short rate process is easy to follow and hence implementation is straightforward.Unlike short rate models the class of Market Models is formulated in terms of market rates which are directly related to tradable assets. Thus they exhibit better calibration properties than short rate models. However they are high dimensional by construction and tedious to implement.In 1999, Hunt, Kennedy and Pelsser introduced the class of Markov-Functional Models (MFM) aiming at developing models which could match as many market prices as Market Models while maintaining the efficiency of short rate models in calculating derivative prices.After a general overview of the two dominant paradigms in section III, this report will focus on the class of Markov-functional models. Section IV presents the general framework. Then several issues related to the implementation of a one-factor MFM model are analyzed in section V. Finally we will display in section VI some numerical results of the simulations of this one-factor model.
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