回声状态网络与支持向量机读出客户流失预测

Ali Rodan, Hossam Faris
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引用次数: 13

摘要

在所有以客户为基础的行业中,客户流失被认为是最重要和最具挑战性的问题之一,因为它可能导致严重的利润损失。因此,开发准确的流失预测模型可以极大地帮助客户关系管理计划有效的保留活动,从而有助于服务提供商的利润最大化。在本文中,我们提出使用回声状态网络(ESN)和支持向量机(SVM)训练算法来预测电信公司的客户流失。该方法基于两个数据集进行训练和测试:第一个数据集是流行的在线可用数据集,第二个数据集来自本地服务提供商。实验结果表明,在相同的客户流失预测问题上,带有SVM读出的ESN优于文献中使用的其他流行的机器学习模型。
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Echo State Network with SVM-readout for customer churn prediction
In all customer based industries, customer churn is considered as one of the most important and challenging concerns since it can lead to a serious profit loss. Therefore, developing accurate churn prediction models can significantly help Customer Relationship Management in planning effective retention campaigns and consequently helps in maximizing the profit of the service provider. In this paper, we propose the use of an Echo State Network (ESN) with a Support Vector Machine (SVM) training algorithm for predicting customer churn in telecommunication companies. The proposed approach is trained and tested based on two datasets: the first is a popular online available dataset while the second is obtained from a local service provider. Experiment results show that ESN with SVM readout outperform other popular machine learning models used in the literature for the same customer churn prediction problems.
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