基于藤属植物的亚洲市场多元金融依赖分析

Abhay K. Singh, D. Allen, R. Powell, K. Reddy
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摘要

金融依赖建模是定量金融和计量经济学的主要研究领域之一。对于投资组合理论、套期保值、资产估值和一般风险管理来说,有效的依赖性量化是可取的。量化不同国际股票市场之间的共同运动或多元依赖导致更好的多样化,这有利于投资者,因为它有助于盈利的风险分配。由于近年来的惊人增长,亚洲股市已成为全球投资者的重要投资对象。研究亚洲股票市场之间的依赖关系变得越来越重要,因为这些市场承诺多样化的好处。本文研究了包括泰国、马来西亚、印度尼西亚、新加坡、菲律宾、韩国、日本、中国、香港、台湾和印度在内的11个亚洲金融市场的多元依赖结构,使用了最新开发的复杂模型Regular Vine (R-Vine) Copula。R-Vine copula构成了一种灵活的多元依赖模型,它比标准多元copula具有更大的灵活性。为了研究这些国际股票市场对亚洲市场的影响,我们还引入了澳大利亚、英国和美国的国际股票市场进行相关性分析。
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Multivariate Financial Dependence Analysis of Asian Markets Using Vine Copulas
Modelling financial dependence is one of the major areas of research in quantitative finance and econometrics. Efficient quantification of dependence is desirable for portfolio theory, hedging, valuation of assets and risk management in general. Quantification of co-movement or multivariate dependence between various international stock markets results in better diversification which benefits investors as it helps in profitable risk distribution. Due to their phenomenal growth in recent years, Asian stock markets have become important for global investors. The study of dependence among Asian stock markets has gained importance as these markets promise diversification benefits. In this paper we study the multivariate dependence structure of eleven Asian financial markets, including Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, Philippines, Korea, Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and India using sophisticated and recently developed model, Regular Vine (R-Vine) Copula. R-Vine Copulas constitute a flexible kind of multivariate dependence models which offer more flexibility than standard multivariate copulas. We also introduce the international markets of Australia, UK and US to the dependence analysis in order to study the influence of these international stock markets on the Asian markets.
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