基于人工神经网络(ANN)的风险压力因子估算在搜救队站定位中的应用。

Irfan Macit
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摘要

地震是一种突然打破人类正常生活的自然灾害类型。灾害救援活动是现代灾害管理的关键环节之一。如前所述,这个管理阶段包括灾后需要完成的所有活动。搜索和救援(SAR)小组在地震后的灾后阶段执行这些最关键的活动之一。根据选定的标准,选出进行灾后救援的搜救队伍。位置布局选择问题是NP-Hard问题,获得硬结果属于这类问题。其中一个标准是风险压力系数(RPF),用于确定风险领域的优先级。确定风险等级是非常困难的而且这些也很难预测。本研究旨在利用人工神经网络(ANN)方法估计该参数值,该方法在许多领域都有应用。在此基础上,利用神经网络方法中较适合的反向传播方法构建了预测模型,并通过MATLAB程序得到了预测结果。得到的风险压力因子(RPF)值可以作为所提出的数学模型的参数。研究的结果是,在对属于所提出的数学模型的参数进行估计时,会发现数学模型中缺失的参数。
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Estimating Risk Pressure Factor (RPF) with Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to Locate Search and Rescue (SAR) Team Station.
Earthquake is one of the natural disaster types that suddenly breaks regular human life. Rescue activities in disasters are one of the most critical stages of modern disaster management. This management stage, as mentioned earlier, includes all the activities that need to be done after the disaster. Search And Rescue (SAR) teams perform one of these most critical activities after the earthquake post-disaster period. Search and rescue teams that will rescue and relief after a disaster are selected according to the criteria selected. Location layout selection problems are NP-Hard, and obtaining hard results is in the class of these problems. One of these criteria is the Risk Pressure Factor (RPF) used in determining the priorities of the risk areas. Determining the level of risk level is very difficult and also these are difficult to predict. In this study, it is aimed to estimate this parametric value by using an artificial neural network (ANN) method which is applied in many fields. And then in this study, a prediction model was constructed by using back propagation method which is a suitable propagation method in ANN method and results are obtained from the MATLAB program. The resulting risk-pressure factor (RPF) value can be used as a parameter in the proposed mathematical model. As a result of the study, the missing parameter of the mathematical model will be found in the estimation of a parameter belonging to the proposed mathematical model.
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