基于改进递归神经网络(RNN)的智能基金交易模型

G. Hu, Yi Ye, Yin Zhang, M. S. Hossain
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引用次数: 2

摘要

基金相关性分析可以指导投资者的投资和财富管理,避免在投资过程中选择高度相关的基金,使基金之间分担风险。基金数据的特征之间存在很强的依赖性,不同时间步长的输出之间存在长期的依赖性,这使得传统智能投资系统中使用的数据分析模型很难在基金数据中获得良好的表现。这给相关性分析的资金投入带来了困难。为了解决上述问题,本文采用了一种结合注意机制的编码器-解码器模型——改进的RNN模型。编码器-解码器模型在金融时间序列分析中的应用取得了长足的进步。注意机制可以选择与当前输出高度相关的特定特征输入和之前的时间步长输出,从而提高系统预测的效率。本文将该模型应用于包含多个公共基金的历史数据集。实验结果表明,本文提出的基金智能投资系统性能最好。
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Improved Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) Based Intelligent Fund Transaction Model
Fund correlation analysis can guide investors' investment and wealth management, avoiding the selection of highly relevant funds in the investment process, which can make the risk sharing among funds. There is a strong dependence between the features of the fund data and a long-term dependence between the output of different time steps, which makes it difficult to obtain good performance in the fund data in the data analysis model used in the traditional intelligent investment system. This has brought difficulties to fund correlation analysis. In order to solve the above problems, this paper uses an encoder-decoder model combined with the attention mechanism--Improved RNN model. The Encoder-decoder model has made great strides in the application of financial time series analysis. And the attention mechanism can select specific feature inputs and previous time step outputs, both of which are highly correlated with the current output, making system predictions more efficient. This paper applies this model to the historical data set containing multiple public funds. The results show that the fund intelligent investment system proposed in this paper performs best.
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