《风暴过后:欧元危机后南欧的政党制度》

Višeslav Raos
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摘要

多年来,南欧国家一直在与主权债务危机的后果作斗争。在外部压力下,他们制定了严厉的紧缩措施,导致对欧盟的信任动摇,新的抗议运动和新的政党进入立法机构和政府。十年后,本文提出了这样一个问题:欧洲主权债务危机的风暴是否对希腊、意大利、葡萄牙和西班牙产生了影响?本文着眼于宏观层面的变化,并借助CMP/MARPOR数据集的数据分析政党制度的变化。本文讨论了对欧盟态度的变化,左右规模(RILE)的立场,以及经济和福利政策。分析显示,意大利对欧盟的积极态度略有下降,西班牙政党体系温和左倾,希腊对国家在经济中的作用的积极态度略有下降。总之,我们可以说,在欧洲主权债务危机十年之后,希腊、意大利、葡萄牙和西班牙的政党制度已经不可能发生剧烈的变化,外部压力也没有成功地影响南欧政党制度总体上倾向左翼的事实。
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After the Storm: Party Systems in Southern Europe in the Wake of the Eurocrisis
For years, the countries of Southern Europe have struggled with the consequences of the sovereign debt crisis. Under external pressure they enacted harsh austerity measures which resulted in shaken trust in the European Union, new protest movements and the entrance of new political parties in legislatures and governments. A decade later, this paper poses the question whether the storm of the European sovereign debt crisis has left an impact on Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain. The article focuses on changes on the macro-level and analyzes party system changes with the help of data from the CMP/MARPOR dataset. The paper deals with changes in the attitude towards the European Union, the position on the left-right scale (RILE), as well as economic and welfare policy. The analysis has shown a weak decrease in positive attitudes towards the EU in Italy, a moderate leftward shift of the Spanish party system, as well as a moderate decrease in positive attitudes towards the role of the state in the economy in the Greek case. In conclusion, one can say that ten years after the European sovereign debt crisis it is not possible to speak of drastic party system change in Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain, and that external pressure has not succeeded in having an impact on the fact that Southern European party systems are, in general, titled towards the left.
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