“失业保险福利和参保率”

P. Anderson, Bruce D. Meyer
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引用次数: 21

摘要

尽管有明确的理论预测UI对接受的影响,但很少有关于计划慷慨与申请福利倾向之间联系的工作。管理数据使我们能够准确地为离开雇主的工人样本分配潜在的福利水平和持续时间,无论是否实际收到过失业保险。然后,我们将这些值与边际税率一起用作logit方程中估计离职员工获得UI的概率的主要解释变量。我们发现福利水平对摄取有很强的正向影响,而潜在福利持续时间对摄取的影响很小。这些估计表明,相对于收益,吸收率的弹性约为0.46至0.78。我们的估计还表明,潜在的索赔人对福利的税收待遇有反应。对失业救济金征税影响的模拟表明,最近的税收变化可以解释20世纪80年代失业救济金收入下降的大部分原因。此外,我们发现理论和实证支持的命题,即失业时间较短的人不太可能申请。我们表明,如果申请失业救济金的决定受到福利水平和预期失业持续时间的影响,它将对失业救济金对失业持续时间影响的估计产生偏差。
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"Unemployment Insurance Benefits and Takeup Rates"
Despite clear theoretical predictions of UI effects on takeup there is little work on the link between program generosity and the propensity to file for benefits. Administrative data allow us to assign the potential level and duration of benefits accurately for a sample of workers separating from their employers, whether or not UI was ever actually received. We then use these values along with marginal tax rates as our main explanatory variables in logit equation estimates of the probability that a separating employee receives UI. We find a strong positive effect of the benefit level on takeup, but little effect of the potential duration of benefits. The estimates imply elasticities of the takeup rate with respect to benefits of about 0.46 to 0.78. Our estimates also show that potential claimants respond to the tax treatment of benefits. Simulations of the effects of taxing UI benefits indicate that recent tax changes can account for most of the decline in UI receipt in the 1980's. In addition, we find theoretical and empirical support for the proposition that those with short unemployment spells are less likely to file. We show that if the decision to file for UI is affected by benefit levels and the expected duration of unemployment, it will bias estimates of the effects of UI on unemployment duration.
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Will Delayed Retirement by the Baby Boomers Lead to Higher Unemployment Among Younger Workers? "Unemployment Insurance Benefits and Takeup Rates"
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