亚洲国家失业迟滞:基于弹性傅立叶形式和结构断裂单位根检验的结果

O. Yaya, Oluwadare O. Ojo, O. Awolaja
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文利用1991 - 2019年的年度数据,对47个亚洲国家的失业滞后现象进行了研究。由于失业数据的样本量小,采用了一种新颖的单位根框架,能够以光滑断裂的形式建模非线性。结果显示,除文莱、马来西亚、卡塔尔和土耳其外,大多数亚洲国家都存在滞后现象。因此,那些存在失业滞后性的国家的劳动力市场需要在政策上积极主动,以应对失业冲击,特别是其中那些富裕的亚洲国家。
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Unemployment Hysteresis in Asian Countries: Findings Based on Flexible Fourier Form and Structural Break Unit Root Tests
The present paper investigates unemployment hysteresis in 47 Asian countries using annual data from 1991 to 2019. A novel unit root framework, capable of modelling nonlinearity in the form of smooth break is applied due to the small sample sizes of the unemployment data. The results show evidence of hysteresis in most of the Asian countries except in Brunei, Malaysia, Qatar and Turkey. Labour markets in those countries with unemployment hysteresis therefore need to be proactive in their policies to address unemployment shocks, particularly those wealthy Asian nations among them.
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