宏观经济因素:对股价指数的影响

Genesis Sembiring Depari
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究的目的是确定宏观经济变量与印度尼西亚、新加坡和马来西亚的股票价格指数JCI、STI和KLSE之间的联系。运用多元线性回归研究GDP增长、广义货币(货币供应量)、通货膨胀和利差四个宏观经济因素对股市综合指数的影响。研究结果表明,通货膨胀对股价指数有负向影响,而利差对股价指数有正向影响。当通货膨胀和利率上升时,投资者可以通过购买蓝筹股获利。关键词:GDP增长,通货膨胀,利差,货币供应量,股票价格指数
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MACROECONOMICS FACTOR: THE IMPACT ON STOCK PRICE INDEX
The objective of this study is to determine the link between macroeconomic variables and JCI, STI, and KLSE which are the stock price indexes of Indonesia, Singapore, and Malaysia stock price indexes. Multiple linear regression is used to investigate the influence of four macroeconomic factors on the stock market composite index, namely GDP growth, broad money (money supply), inflation, and interest rate spread. The finding indicates that inflation has a negative effect, while interest rate spread positively affecting the stock price Indexes. Investors may profit from this situation by purchasing blue chips when inflation and interest rates are rising. Keywords: GDP growth, inflation, interest rate spread, money supply, stock price indexes
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