基于模糊数学理论的GIS状态评价方法

Peng Zhang, B. Qi, Zhihai Rong, Chengrong Li, Chao Gu, Demeng Bai
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摘要

气体绝缘开关设备的性能和运行状态直接影响到电网的安全。因此,迫切需要对GIS进行状态评估。现有的GIS状态评估大多基于故障诊断,缺乏对GIS状态评估方法的研究。为了制定更合理的维护策略,提出了一种基于模糊隶属度的GIS状态评估方法。基于GIS上各结构可能出现的所有失效模式,选取各故障模式的状态变量,给出各结构失效模式的评价指标。首先,对每个状态变量计算其评价指标“正常”、“关注”、“异常”、“严重”的模糊隶属度;其次,基于层次分析法对各个状态进行权重分配;最后,基于证据理论,分别对各种失效模式进行了评估,进而对GIS的状态进行了评估。将该方法应用于GIS设备运行状态的评估。考虑状态变量,对GIS的不同结构进行评分,建立隶属度函数,修正各指标的权重。实践证明,该方法可用于GIS运行状态的评价。本文建立了一种基于模糊隶属度的GIS状态评价方法。该方法可以全面有效地评价GIS的状态。
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GIS Condition Assessment Method Based on Fuzzy Mathematics Theory
Gas insulated switchgear (GIS)'s property and operation state has a directly influence on the grid safety. Thus state assessment of GIS is badly needed. Most existing GIS state evaluation is based on fault diagnosis, and lack of research on GIS state evaluation methods. In order to develop a more reasonable maintenance strategy, this paper presents a method based on fuzzy membership degree for evaluating the GIS state. Based on all possible failure modes of each structure on GIS, this paper selected the state variables of each fault mode to provide the evaluation index for each structure failure modes. Firstly, for each state variable, its evaluation index fuzzy membership degree of “normal”, “attention”, “abnormal” and “serious” is calculated. Secondly, the weights are assigned to each state based on the analytic hierarchy process. Finally, based on the theory of evidence, all kinds of failure modes are evaluated respectively, and then the state of GIS is evaluated. The method is used to evaluate the state of GIS equipment in operation. Considering the state variables, the different structure of GIS was scored and the membership function was established to correct the weight of each index. It is proved that this method can be used to evaluate the state of GIS in operation. In this paper, a GIS condition assessment method based on fuzzy membership degree is established. The method can be used to evaluate the GIS state comprehensively and effectively.
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