基于pccsAMOPSO的多目标变权组合预测模型

Dongfang Fan, Zhihong Jin, Kai Luo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了准确预测宏观物料流,针对现有中长期宏观物料流预测模型的局限性,提出了一种基于并行胞坐标系的自适应多目标粒子群优化算法(pccsAMOPSO)的多目标变权组合预测模式(MOVWCP)来分析和预测宏观物料流。为了提高MOVWCP的稳定性,提出了误差熵的概念,同时利用平均绝对误差百分比(MAPE)和误差熵来构建目标函数。设计了一种基于pccsAMOPSO的智能启发式算法,在拟合期间求解变权Pareto前,利用灵敏度差选择变权Pareto解。一系列数值实验结果验证了MOVWCP及其算法的优越性。
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Multi-objective Variable Weight Combination Forecasting Model Based on pccsAMOPSO
In order to accurately predict the macroscopic material flow, aiming at the limitations of the existing medium and long-term macro material flow forecasting models, we propose a multi-objective variable weight combination prediction mode (MOVWCP) based on the parallel cell coordinates system Adaptive Multi-Objective Particle Swarm optimizer algorithm (pccsAMOPSO) to analyze and predict macro material flows. In order to improve the stability of MOVWCP, the concept of error entropy is proposed, at the same time, MOVWCP uses mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and error entropy to build the objective functions. An intelligent heuristic algorithm based on pccsAMOPSO is designed to solve the Pareto front of variable weights during the fitting period and the variable weight Pareto solution was selected by using the sensitivity difference. A series of numerical experimental results verify the superiority of MOVWCP and its algorithm.
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