利用机器学习预测住宅物业价格以克服物业过剩问题

Lim Wan Yee, N. A. A. Bakar, N. H. Hassan, N. M. M. Zainuddin, R. Yusoff, N. A. Rahim
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引用次数: 1

摘要

过去十年来,马来西亚的房地产问题一直存在。主要的悬置物业问题来自未售出的住宅物业。虽然政府宣布要建立数据系统并提供住房数据,以防止房地产市场的供需不匹配,但有关住宅房地产价格预测的研究仍然不多。因此,有必要了解影响住宅物业价格的因素。该研究旨在通过使用机器学习算法来预测住宅物业的价格。选择了三种算法,即决策树,线性回归和随机森林,针对从马来西亚估值和物业服务部获得的训练和测试数据集进行测试。结果表明,随机森林模型具有较低的r_squared (R2)、RMSE和MAE值,具有较高的预测精度。值得注意的是,这项研究对主要影响房地产价格的基本房地产特征提供了新的见解,这对房地产开发商和希望投资房地产市场的买家很有帮助。
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Using Machine Learning to Forecast Residential Property Prices in Overcoming the Property Overhang Issue
Overhang property issue has sustained over the past ten years in Malaysia. Major overhang property issue was contributed from the unsold residential property. Though the government announced to build a data system and provide the housing data to prevent a mismatch of supply-demand in the property market, there are still not many relevant studies or research on predicting residential property prices. Hence, it is essential to understand the factors that influence the price of residential properties. The study aims to predict the price of a residential property by using a machine learning algorithm. Three algorithms were selected, namely Decision Tree, Linear Regression, and Random Forest, tested against the training and testing datasets obtained from the Malaysian Valuation and Property Services Department. Results show that the Random Forest model produced high accuracy with lower r_squared (R2), RMSE, and MAE values. Significantly, the study has contributed a new insight into essential property features that primarily influence the property price, which will be useful for property developers and buyers who wish to invest in the property market.
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