搜索多个产品的信息

T. Ke, Z. Shen, J. M. Villas-Boas
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引用次数: 108

摘要

我们开发了一个框架,用于在多个备选方案的选择集上持续搜索信息,并将其应用于产品市场中的消费者搜索。当消费者考虑购买产品类别中的产品时,消费者可以按顺序收集有关多个产品的信息。在每一个时刻,消费者都可以选择收集更多关于哪个产品的信息,也可以选择停止收集信息并购买其中一种产品,或者不购买而退出市场。由于信息收集的成本很高,消费者最终无法收集到所有产品的完整信息,需要在不完全信息下做出决策。在搜索信息量不变的假设下,求解了在这种情况下的最优搜索、切换和购买或退出行为,该行为具有最优考虑集和购买阈值结构。本文表明,只有当产品具有足够高的期望效用时,人们才会考虑搜索或购买。在消费者的考虑集中给定多个产品,只有当前两个产品的预期效用之差大于某个阈值时,消费者才会停止搜索信息并购买产品。对比统计表明,产品之间的负信息相关性扩大了购买门槛,选择的数量也增加了。在我们的理性消费者模型下,我们展示了当消费者在做出购买决定之前搜索或评估多个备选方案时,选择过载可能会发生。我们还发现,对于多个产品的垄断性销售者来说,对于低估值的消费者来说,信息搜索更方便,对于高估值的消费者来说,信息搜索更模糊是最优的。这篇论文被市场部的Eric Anderson接受了。
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Search for Information on Multiple Products
We develop a framework for continuous search for information on a choice set of multiple alternatives and apply it to consumer search in a product market. When a consumer considers purchasing a product in a product category, the consumer can gather information sequentially on several products. At each moment, the consumer can choose which product to gather more information on and whether to stop gathering information and purchase one of the products or to exit the market with no purchase. Given costly information gathering, consumers end up not gathering complete information on all the products and need to make decisions under imperfect information. Under the assumption of constant informativeness of search, we solve for the optimal search, switch, and purchase or exit behavior in such a setting, which is characterized by an optimal consideration set and a purchase threshold structure. This paper shows that a product is only considered for search or purchase if it has a sufficiently high expected utility. Given multiple products in the consumer’s consideration set, the consumer only stops searching for information and purchases a product if the difference between the expected utilities of the top two products is greater than some threshold. Comparative statics show that negative information correlation among products widens the purchase threshold, and so does an increase in the number of the choices. Under our rational consumer model, we show that choice overload can occur when consumers search or evaluate multiple alternatives before making a purchase decision. We also find that it is optimal for a monopolistic seller of multiple products to facilitate information search for low-valuation consumers and obfuscate information for those with high valuations. This paper was accepted by Eric Anderson, marketing .
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