Τhe外国直接投资对加纳经济增长的影响:汇率波动的作用

S. Antwi, P. Boateng, Awudu Salley
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究的主要目的是考察外国直接投资流入对加纳经济增长的影响:汇率波动的调节作用。研究采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)和广义自回归条件异方差(GARCH)。该研究主要基于世界发展指标(WDI)的二手数据,其中使用了1980年至2018年39年的年度时间序列数据。研究发现,FDI在短期内对经济增长具有显著的正向影响。此外,从长期来看,汇率波动对经济增长产生了显著的负面影响。然而,从长期来看,国内资本和贸易开放对经济增长具有显著的正向影响。长期估计表明FDI降低了经济增长,汇率波动抑制了FDI对经济增长的负面影响。因此,该研究建议,除其他事项外,政府应制定吸引外国直接投资者进入该国的政策,因为这可能会稳定经济。
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Τhe effect of foreign direct investment on economic growth in Ghana: the role of exchange rate volatility
The main objective of the study is to examine the effect of foreign direct investment inflows on economic growth in Ghana: the moderating role of exchange rate volatility. The study used Auto-Regressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH). The study was based mainly on secondary data from World Development Indicators (WDI) where annual time-series data of 39 years was used for the study ranging from 1980 to 2018. The study found that FDI had a positively significant impact on growth in the short run. Also, exchange rate volatility had a negatively significant impact on economic growth in the long run. However, domestic capital and trade openness had a positive significant impact on economic growth in the long run. The long-run estimate suggests that FDI decrease growth and exchange rate volatility dampen the negative effect of FDI on growth. The study, therefore, recommended, among other things, that the government should formulate policies that attract foreign direct investors into the country, as this may stabilize the economy.
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