一种有效的有监督机器学习模型方法用于可再生能源预测以应对气候变化

Drumil Joshi et al., Drumil Joshi et al.,
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在以ENTSOE透明平台的实时数据为输入,引入一个可靠的欧盟国家可再生能源(即:海上风能、陆上风能和太阳能)用电预测模型。这种数据科学和机器学习方法背后的主要用途是帮助判断可再生能源的可用性。上述软件是通过输入所需的国家和相关参数来工作的。它通过仔细观察过去的模式及其季节性来学习,从而对未来做出准确的预测。在此过程中使用的机器学习算法有线性回归、额外树回归、随机森林回归、支持向量机(SVM)和梯度增强,并通过获得1-2的最小对称平均绝对误差(SMAPE)来证实精度。
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An Efficient Supervised Machine Learning Model Approach for Forecasting of Renewable Energy to Tackle Climate Change
This paper aims to introduce a reliable forecasting model for the consumption of electricity using renewable sources (namely: offshore wind, onshore wind and solar power) in EU countries, based on live data from the ENTSOE transparency platform as its input. The primary use behind this data science and machine learning methodology, is to help judge the availability of renewable energy resources. Aforementioned software is put to work by inputting desired country and associated parameters. It learns by carefully observing past patterns and their seasonality to make accurate predictions for the future. The ML algorithms used in this process are linear regression, extra trees regression, random forest regression, support vector machine (SVM) and gradient boosting, and precision is substantiated by getting a minimal Symmetric Mean Absolute Error (SMAPE) of 1-2.
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