自组织模拟应用于跨越和平边界的移民:一项最新研究

W. Oldham
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引用次数: 0

摘要

使用简单动态法律的自组织已应用于跨越两个实体、州或国家之间共同边界的移民。给出了迁移者的运动和最终位置。在这个系统中,有两组对象。一组在边界的一边。一侧,也就是右侧,被认为是更好的实体。也就是说,它有一个好的政府,经济也很强劲。在左边,这个实体在治理和经济方面明显不同。每一边的物体又进一步分为两组。这两组被称为强组和弱组。强者代表统治,富人或精英,弱者指一般民众。最初,对象随机分布在这个二维方形有界区域中,然后允许动态交互进行多次迭代。所有粒子群之间的力被定义为吸引或排斥,并且可以调整以研究从动力学得到的最终构型。研究人员进行了四个实验,以了解自组织如何适用于这些情况。在实验1中,只有物体对物体的力是有效的,迁移就发生了。实验2引入就业的概念。一个失业的物体被允许比一个就业的物体移动得更快,从而给失业的人更大的机动性。右边的就业率明显高于左边。实验三探讨了将其中一种力从排斥变为吸引。实验3和实验2是一样的,不同之处在于它的迭代次数是实验2的两倍。实验四在右侧建立了就业中心。这些中心为离中心足够近的左侧移民提供工作。如果左边的对象得到了一个中心的工作,那么在模拟的剩余时间里,这个迁移者不会移动。在实验1和实验2中,移民没有留下来的动机,所以移民在边境上来回旅行。在实验4中,假设工作为移民提供了留在固定地点的动机。因此,在就业中心周围形成了成群的移民。形成的集群是不可持续的,表明缺乏留下来的理由。这项工作的目的是对一组移民进行计算机模拟,观察从一边到另一边的交通模式,并观察是否形成群集或飞地。
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Self-organization Simulation Applied to Migration across a Peaceful Border: A Recent Study
Self-organization using simple dynamic laws has been applied to migration across a common border between two entities, states or countries. The motion of the migrants and their final positions are presented. In the system there were two sets of objects. One set was on a side of the boundary. One side, the right side, was considered to be the better entity. That is it had a good government and the economy was strong. On the left side the entity was decidedly different with respect to the governance and the economy. Each side's objects were further divided into two groups. The two groups were referred to as strong and weak. The strong represent the governance, rich or elite and weak refers to the general population. Initially the objects were randomly distributed in this two dimensional square bounded region, and then allowed to dynamically interact for a number of iterations. The forces among all of the particles as groups were defined to be attractive or repulsive and could be adjusted to study the resulting configuration from the dynamics. Four experiments were conducted to see how self-organization applies for these scenarios. In Experiment 1 the migration took place with only the object-to-object forces active. In Experiment 2 the concept of employment was introduced. An unemployed object was allowed to move faster than an employed object thus giving the unemployed greater mobility. The employment rate on right side is considerably higher than on the left side. Experiment 3 explored changing one of the forces from repelling to attract. Experiment 3 was the same as Experiment 2 except for this and it went for twice as many iterations. Experiment 4 created employment centers on the right side. These centers provided jobs to left side migrants that came close enough to a center. If the left side object got a center job then that migrant did not move for the remainder of the simulation. In Experiments 1 and 2 there was no incentive for a migrant to remain so the migrant traveled back and forth across the border. In Experiment 4 it was assumed that the job provided incentive for the migrant to remain at a fixed location. Thus clusters of migrants formed around the job centers. The clusters that formed were not sustainable indicating lack of reason to stay. The objectives of this effort were to apply computer simulation to a group of migrants to observe the traffic patterns from one side to the other and to observe if cluster or enclaves were formed.
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