基于径向基神经网络的风电产量估计

G. Sideratos, N. Hatziargyriou
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引用次数: 67

摘要

本文比较了两种统计方法在实际复杂地形风电场短期风电功率预测中的应用。这些方法需要输入过去的功率测量和风速和风向的气象预报(数值天气预报或NWPs),在风电场现场进行插值。两种方法都包括基于模糊逻辑的NWPs估计模型和基于神经网络组合的风电预测模型。
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Using Radial Basis Neural Networks to Estimate Wind Power Production
This paper compares two statistical methods for short-term wind power forecasting applied in a real wind farm located on complex terrain. The methods require as input past power measurements and meteorological forecasts of wind speed and direction (Numerical Weather Predictions or NWPs) interpolated at the site of the wind farm. Both methods include NWPs estimator models based on fuzzy logic and wind power forecasting models using neural networks combination.
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