{"title":"财政支出行为的再运行资格:来自印度尼西亚市政当局的证据","authors":"Setyo Hari Priyono, Prani Sastiono","doi":"10.36574/JPP.V3I1.62","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This study focuses on the difference in spending policy behavior between regions having re-running incumbents in the 2015 election and regions that have the last-period incumbent. Hypothetically, re-runner incumbents would try to enhance their re-election probability by increasing their targeted expenditures in the times leading to the election time; in contrary, the last-period incumbents will do the opposite. Ordinary Least Square (OLS) cross-sectional data has been used to analyze the politicians’ behavior on fiscal spending policy for 237 municipalities. The study result shows that there is no difference in behaviour between regions having re-running incumbent and regions that have a last-period incumbent. Compared to regions with lame ducks, grant expenditure tends to be higher on election year in regions having a re-running incumbent. There is also a tendency that the higher grant expenditure in the year prior to the election, the lower grant expenditure during an election year in those regions.","PeriodicalId":209567,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Re-running Eligibility on Fiscal Spending Behavior: Evidence from Indonesian Municipalities\",\"authors\":\"Setyo Hari Priyono, Prani Sastiono\",\"doi\":\"10.36574/JPP.V3I1.62\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This study focuses on the difference in spending policy behavior between regions having re-running incumbents in the 2015 election and regions that have the last-period incumbent. Hypothetically, re-runner incumbents would try to enhance their re-election probability by increasing their targeted expenditures in the times leading to the election time; in contrary, the last-period incumbents will do the opposite. Ordinary Least Square (OLS) cross-sectional data has been used to analyze the politicians’ behavior on fiscal spending policy for 237 municipalities. The study result shows that there is no difference in behaviour between regions having re-running incumbent and regions that have a last-period incumbent. Compared to regions with lame ducks, grant expenditure tends to be higher on election year in regions having a re-running incumbent. There is also a tendency that the higher grant expenditure in the year prior to the election, the lower grant expenditure during an election year in those regions.\",\"PeriodicalId\":209567,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-04-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.36574/JPP.V3I1.62\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.36574/JPP.V3I1.62","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Re-running Eligibility on Fiscal Spending Behavior: Evidence from Indonesian Municipalities
This study focuses on the difference in spending policy behavior between regions having re-running incumbents in the 2015 election and regions that have the last-period incumbent. Hypothetically, re-runner incumbents would try to enhance their re-election probability by increasing their targeted expenditures in the times leading to the election time; in contrary, the last-period incumbents will do the opposite. Ordinary Least Square (OLS) cross-sectional data has been used to analyze the politicians’ behavior on fiscal spending policy for 237 municipalities. The study result shows that there is no difference in behaviour between regions having re-running incumbent and regions that have a last-period incumbent. Compared to regions with lame ducks, grant expenditure tends to be higher on election year in regions having a re-running incumbent. There is also a tendency that the higher grant expenditure in the year prior to the election, the lower grant expenditure during an election year in those regions.