为可持续增长融资

Gligor Bishev
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摘要

北马其顿依靠市场失灵理论来解释政府在经济中的作用。政府应该退居次要地位,为私营部门投资和促进增长创造条件。因此,公共支出多年来一直保持在GDP的1/3。过去20年,私营部门固定资产投资平均占GDP的22.4%。结果是适度的增长,在可预见的未来,这不足以缩小北马其顿与欧盟之间的生活水平差距。创新生态系统和降低私营部门投资风险被认为是实现智能、可持续和绿色增长的更适当模式。此类政策必须将创新置于增长政策的核心位置。政府应该有一个使命,资助创新,引导经济走向绿色和智能。这将要求公共支出稳步达到GDP的40%的门槛。通过降低私营部门的风险和强有力的公私伙伴关系,应该吸引更多的国内和国外私人投资。这将使长期增长率加快到5%,使其更具包容性和安全性,生活水平迅速向欧盟趋同。
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FINANCING SUSTAINBLE GROWTH
North Macedonia is relying on Market Failure theory for the role of Government in the economy. The Government should take a back seat and simply create condition for private sector to invest and generate growth. Thus, public expenditures are kept at 1/3 of GDP for many years. Private sector investments in fix assets are anchored on average in last two decades at 22.4 percent of GDP. Result has been a moderate growth, that is not sufficient in foreseeable future to close the gap in living standard between the North Macedonia and EU. Innovative ecosystem and de-risking private sector investments is perceived more adequate model for achieving smart, sustainable and green growth. Such policies must put innovation at heart of growth policies. The Government should have a mission to fund innovations, direct economy to green and smart. This will require public expenditures steadily to reach threshold of 40 percent of GDP. Higher private investments: domestic and foreign, should be attracted by de-risking private sector and by strong private public partnership. This should accelerate growth to 5 percent on long-run, make it more inclusive and secure swift living standard convergence towards EU.
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