基于自适应优化的神经网络处理客户流失预测中的不平衡数据

Bharathi Garimella, G. Prasad, M. K. Prasad
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摘要

随着电信运营商数量的不断增加,基于电信数据的客户流失预测受到了人们的重视,但由于数据的不一致性、稀疏性和庞大性,使得客户流失预测变得复杂而具有挑战性。因此,本研究提出了一种有效且最优的离职预测机制——自适应萤火虫蜘蛛优化算法(adaptive FSO),利用电信数据预测离职。提出的客户流失预测方法采用电信数据,这是预测客户流失研究的趋势领域;因此,提高了分类精度。然而,本文提出的自适应FSO算法是将蜘蛛猴优化算法(SMO)、萤火虫优化算法(FA)和自适应概念相结合而设计的。输入数据最初被提供给spark框架的主节点。特征选择使用肯德尔的相关性来选择合适的特征进行进一步的处理。然后,将选择的唯一特征提供给主节点进行客户流失预测。在这里,使用深度卷积神经网络(DCNN)进行流失预测,该网络由所提出的自适应FSO算法训练。此外,通过改变训练数据百分比和选择的特征,所开发的模型使用骰子系数、准确率和Jaccard系数等指标获得了更好的性能。结果表明,基于自适应fso的DCNN的准确率为98.65%,骰子系数为99.76%,Jaccard系数为99.52%。
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Adaptive Optimization-Enabled Neural Networks to Handle the Imbalance Churn Data in Churn Prediction
The churn prediction based on telecom data has been paid great attention because of the increasing the number telecom providers, but due to inconsistent data, sparsity, and hugeness, the churn prediction becomes complicated and challenging. Hence, an effective and optimal prediction of churns mechanism, named adaptive firefly-spider optimization (adaptive FSO) algorithm, is proposed in this research to predict the churns using the telecom data. The proposed churn prediction method uses telecom data, which is the trending domain of research in predicting the churns; hence, the classification accuracy is increased. However, the proposed adaptive FSO algorithm is designed by integrating the spider monkey optimization (SMO), firefly optimization algorithm (FA), and the adaptive concept. The input data is initially given to the master node of the spark framework. The feature selection is carried out using Kendall’s correlation to select the appropriate features for further processing. Then, the selected unique features are given to the master node to perform churn prediction. Here, the churn prediction is made using a deep convolutional neural network (DCNN), which is trained by the proposed adaptive FSO algorithm. Moreover, the developed model obtained better performance using the metrics, like dice coefficient, accuracy, and Jaccard coefficient by varying the training data percentage and selected features. Thus, the proposed adaptive FSO-based DCNN showed improved results with a dice coefficient of 99.76%, accuracy of 98.65%, Jaccard coefficient of 99.52%.
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