制度逻辑背景下的经济弹性

Filipenko Anton
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引用次数: 2

摘要

该体系的经济复原力是表征其质量和数量方面以及对外部和内部冲击和挑战的反应的主要指标之一。在极端情况下(经济和金融危机、生态和自然灾害:台风、洪水、地震等、政治革命、军事冲突等),恢复能力的问题变得尤为重要。目前的俄罗斯-乌克兰战争已成为对国内经济稳定性的严重考验,由于最大限度地调动国内资源和有效的外援,在极端困难的条件下确保了相对的宏观经济平衡。一个重要的组成部分是体制稳定性,即对各级当局和管理层、立法机构、金融和银行机构、对外经济领域的经济形势变化作出业务反应,注意制度主义的诸如信任、社会乐观主义、心态、传统、习惯等属性。从广义上讲,在理论层面上,本文建议在制度逻辑的背景下,在微观、宏观和地缘经济三个层面上考虑制度的可持续性。制度主义,包括经济理论,以传统的形式逻辑为主导,主要使用自然(科学)语言。人们有意识地或直观地考虑到逻辑的主要规律:同一性、矛盾性、排他性、充分理性。进化论逻辑被认为是制度逻辑的基础,它提供了制度环境中所有组成部分变化的总体概念。在制度经济理论中,可以看到两个层次的制度逻辑:宏观层面(凡勃伦和老美国学派、诺斯)和微观层面(科斯、威廉姆森等)。在20世纪最后25年的出版物中,还分析了全球(兆)水平的逻辑。进化论是经济理论中制度逻辑逻辑建构的基础。综合经济可持续性不同制度逻辑方法的概括性指标是可持续性制度逻辑(ILS)和可持续性逻辑指数(LIS)。微观层面的制度逻辑由科斯开创,威廉姆森等人继续发展。科斯的交易成本逻辑由两个定理组成:关于零成本、所有权和经济结果的定理,以及内部化原则。第二个定理被称为“经济组织的比较逻辑”。在与科斯的两个定理的关键关系中,它们仍然是微观水平弹性的基本结构。在宏观经济弹性的指标和标准中,货币成分是最重要的,在自由市场条件下,货币成分对整个经济系统提供了一种预警信号。这种方法的一个特点是将货币部分转变为“货币和财务分析”系统。这反映了近几十年来经济结构的根本质的变化,其中金融子系统获得了主导(关键)重要性,影响到总体宏观经济指标:增长、通货膨胀、就业等。全球化,即大层面的全球化,其经济弹性、必然性和不可逆性的特点是三个确定性逻辑:技术(technological)、经济和政治。
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Economic resilience in the context of institutional logic
Economic resilience of the system is one of the main indicators that characterizes its qualitative and quantitative aspects, response to external and internal shocks and challenges. The problem of resilience becomes especially important in extreme situations (economic and financial crises, ecological and natural disasters: typhoons, floods, earthquakes, etc., political revolutions, military conflicts). The current Russian-Ukrainian war has become a serious test of the stability of the domestic economy, in which relative macroeconomic balance is ensured in extremely difficult conditions due to the maximum mobilization of domestic resources and effective foreign aid. An important component is institutional stability, i.e. operational response to changes in the economic situation of authorities and management at all levels, legislative institutions, financial and banking institutions, foreign economic sphere, attention to such attributes of institutionalism as trust, social optimism, mentality, traditions, habits, etc. In a generalized form, at the theoretical level, institutional sustainability is proposed to be considered in the article in the context of institutional logic in three hypostasises at the micro-, macro-, and geo-economic levels. Institutionalism, including economic theory, is dominated by traditional, formal logic, which mainly uses natural (scientific) language. Consciously or intuitively, the main laws of logic are taken into account: identity, contradiction, the Law of Exclusion, sufficient reason. The logic of evolutionism is considered the basis of institutional logic, which provides a general idea of changes in all components of the institutional environment. In the institutional economic theory, two levels of institutional logic are visible: the macro level (Veblen and the old American school, North) and the micro level (Coase, Williamson, etc.). In the publications of the last quarter of the 20th century the logic of the global (mega) level is also analyzed. Evolutionism is the basis of the logical construction of institutional logic in economic theory. Generalizing indicators that synthesize different approaches of institutional logic regarding economic sustainability are the institutional logic of sustainability (ILS) and the logical index of sustainability (LIS). Institutional logic of the micro- level was initiated by R. Coase, continued by O. Williamson and others. The logic of transaction costs of R. Coase is formulated in two theorems: regarding zero costs, ownership and economic results, and the principle of internalization. The second theorem was called "comparative logic of economic organization". In critical relation to both of Coase's theorems, they remain basic constructs of micro-level resilience. Among the indicators and criteria of macro-level economic resilience, monetary components are of leading importance, which, under the conditions of a free market, provide a kind of warning signals to the economic system as a whole. A feature of this approach was the transformation of the monetary component into a system of "monetary and financial analysis". This reflects fundamental qualitative changes in recent decades regarding the structure of the economy, in which the financial subsystem acquires dominant (key) importance, affecting aggregated macroeconomic indicators: growth, inflation, employment, etc. Globalization, that is, the mega-level, its economic resilience, inevitability and irreversibility are characterized by three deterministic logics: technical (technological), economic and political.
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