基于RSNCL-ANN集成模型的高新技术企业信用风险评估

Maoguang Wang, Jiayu Yu, Zijian Ji
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引用次数: 1

摘要

当前,中国经济发展战略的重点是产业结构调整,高新技术企业面临着巨大的发展机遇。然而,由于开发和评估风险,投资者很难准确评估其风险。本文提出RSNCL-ANN集成策略,构建风险评估模型,建立涵盖企业偿债、盈利能力、管理、股权结构等方面的指标。利用这些指标构建一个全面完整的指标体系。在RSNCL-ANN模型中,采用神经网络模型作为基础学习器,并采用随机子空间和负相关学习策略增加基础学习器的多样性,从而增强集成模型的泛化能力。实验证明,该模型对风险企业具有较好的预测能力。
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Credit risk assessment of high-tech enterprises based on RSNCL-ANN ensemble model
Now, Chinese economic development strategy is focusing on the restructuring of industrial structure, and the high-tech enterprises are facing great opportunities. However, due to the development and evaluation risks, investors are hard to assess their risks accurately. This paper proposed RSNCL-ANN ensemble strategies to build a risk assessment model and establishes indicators that cover corporate debt service, profitability, management, ownership structure and other aspects. These indicators are used to build a comprehensive and complete index system. In the RSNCL-ANN model, the neural network model was used as the base learner, and the strategies of random subspace and negative correlation learning were used to increase the diversity of the base learner so as to enhance the generalization ability of the integrated model. The experiment proved that this model had better predictive ability for venture firms.
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