日内市场不对称——一个北欧的例子

Emilie Rosenlund Soysal, O. Olsen, K. Skytte, Jonas K. Sekamane
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引用次数: 12

摘要

虽然北欧和波罗的海国家的大部分电力是在日前市场交易的,但生产商和消费者可以利用日内市场根据更接近交付时间的最新预测来调整其生产承诺。这减少了对平衡的需求,这对VRE生产商来说尤其重要,但这也意味着日内市场的价格形成可以改变前一天市场的最优出价策略。通过日内价格溢价的计量经济模型,本文研究了可能导致策略性竞价的日内价格不对称。根据定义,日内市场是对称的,因为电力销售价格总是对应于电力购买价格,然而,我们发现这种对称性并没有反映在关于总负荷调整需求的价格结构中。
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Intraday market asymmetries — A Nordic example
While the majority of electricity in the Nordic and Baltic countries is traded at the day-ahead market, producers and consumers can use the intraday market to adjust their production commitments according to updated forecasts closer to the time of delivery. This reduces the need for balancing, particularly important for VRE producers, but it also means that the price formation at intraday market can change optimal bidding strategy in the day-ahead market. Through econometric modelling of intraday price premiums, this paper investigates intraday price asymmetries, which potentially can lead to strategic bidding. The intraday market is per definition symmetric, as prices for power sales always correspond to prices for power purchases, however, we find that this symmetry is not reflected in the price structure in regards to the total load adjustment needs.
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