石油开采的最优管理

Stéphane Goutte, Idris Kharroubi, T. Lim
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文的目的是处理在一个固定期限t的大量约束条件下,在开采和储存原油之间的最佳选择。我们考虑一个管理者,他拥有一个油田,他可以从那里开采石油,并决定出售或储存它。该操作策略必须在连续时间内完成,并且必须满足物理、操作和财务限制,例如:存储容量、原油现货价格波动、可用于可能开采的数量或在时间t可用于开采选择的最大投资数量。在此约束条件下,我们解决了经理人利润的优化问题,并给出了最优策略。然后,我们处理不同的数值情况,以检验我们的模型的鲁棒性和相应的最优策略。
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Optimal Management of an Oil Exploitation
The aim of this paper is to deal with the optimal choice between extraction and storage of crude oil during time under a large panel of constraints for a fixed maturity T. We consider a manager that owns an oil field from which he can extract oil and decide to sell or to store it. This operational strategy has to be done in continuous time and has to satisfy physical, operational and financial constraints such as: storage capacity, crude oil spot price volatility, amount quantity available for possible extraction or the maximum amount which could be invested at time t for the extraction choice. We solve the optimisation problem of the manager's profit under this large panel of constraints and provide an optimal strategy. We then deal with different numerical scenario cases to check the robustness and the corresponding optimal strategies given by our model.
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