{"title":"可再生电力的实际替代效应:基于德国的实证分析","authors":"Philip Schnaars","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3411782","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Renewable electricity is the backbone for a net-zero carbon society. This paper esti- mates the national and international emissions effect of German renewable electricity in the years 2017 to 2019 using a Random Forest algorithm, finding negative but hetero- geneous effects on emissions demand. A fraction of the estimated emission reductions translate into allowance cancellations in the EU ETS and thereby reduce overall long- term emissions.","PeriodicalId":366242,"journal":{"name":"SRPN: Carbon Trading (Socially) (Topic)","volume":"37 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"6","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Real Substitution Effect of Renewable Electricity: An Empirical Analysis for Germany\",\"authors\":\"Philip Schnaars\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3411782\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Renewable electricity is the backbone for a net-zero carbon society. This paper esti- mates the national and international emissions effect of German renewable electricity in the years 2017 to 2019 using a Random Forest algorithm, finding negative but hetero- geneous effects on emissions demand. A fraction of the estimated emission reductions translate into allowance cancellations in the EU ETS and thereby reduce overall long- term emissions.\",\"PeriodicalId\":366242,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"SRPN: Carbon Trading (Socially) (Topic)\",\"volume\":\"37 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"6\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"SRPN: Carbon Trading (Socially) (Topic)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3411782\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"SRPN: Carbon Trading (Socially) (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3411782","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
The Real Substitution Effect of Renewable Electricity: An Empirical Analysis for Germany
Renewable electricity is the backbone for a net-zero carbon society. This paper esti- mates the national and international emissions effect of German renewable electricity in the years 2017 to 2019 using a Random Forest algorithm, finding negative but hetero- geneous effects on emissions demand. A fraction of the estimated emission reductions translate into allowance cancellations in the EU ETS and thereby reduce overall long- term emissions.
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