部门beta:中巴经济走廊宣布前后的比较

Maryam Zafar, Nawaz Ahmad
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引用次数: 1

摘要

中巴经济走廊是一个旨在连接瓜达尔和喀什的大型项目,它不仅改变了中国和巴基斯坦的游戏规则,而且改变了整个地区。这篇研究论文将揭示中巴经济走廊的宣布对不同行业的影响,包括水泥、汽车、银行、保险和钢铁。确定股票超额收益并取其为因变量,其中;以KSE 100指数的超额收益为自变量。使用简单回归技术解释beta和sig值。但是,由于国内需求的增加和进口的增加,5个品种中有4个品种出现了下滑。Sig值仍然非常显著。建立更多的本地工业,以满足需求的增长,并保持beta的水平。对于外国投资者来说,这将是一个双赢的局面,因为由于中巴经济走廊相关发展的速度加快,当地制造业的速度相对低于当前的商品需求。
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Sectoral Betas: Pre and Post CPEC Announcement Comparison
CPEC, a mega project that aims to connect Gwadar from Kashghar, is not only a game changer for China and Pakistan but it is for the whole region. This research paper will disclose the impact of the announcement of CPEC on different sectors including cement, automobile, banking, insurance and steel. Excess returns of stock were determined and taken as dependent variable, whereas; excess returns of KSE 100 were taken as independent variable. Simple regression technique was used to interpret beta and sig values. Because of the increased local demand and high import rate, 4 out of 5 betas showed downfall, however; sig values remained highly significant. More local industries to be setup to meet the rise in demand and to maintain the level of betas. It will be a win-win situation for foreign investors as the rate of local manufacturing is comparatively lower than the current demand of goods because of the increased rate of CPEC related developments.
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