1949-2019年以色列政治分裂的不平等、身份和长期演变

Y. Berman
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文利用选举前和选举后的调查来解决以色列从1949年到2019年投票模式的长期演变。以色列人不同的种族、文化、教育和宗教背景造成了一系列的政治分歧,这些分歧在以色列历史上不断演变,并继续塑造着以色列的政治气候和今天的社会。尽管以色列有着不同寻常的特点,但我们发现了与法国、英国和美国相似的模式。值得注意的是,我们发现,在20世纪60年代至70年代,左翼政党的选票与社会阶层较低的选民有关。在20世纪70年代末及以后,它逐渐与高社会阶层选民联系在一起。我们还发现不平等与政治结果之间存在微弱的相互关系,这表明尽管存在社会阶级分裂,但基于身份或“部落”的投票仍然在以色列政治中占主导地位。
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Inequality, Identity, and the Long-Run Evolution of Political Cleavages in Israel, 1949–2019
This paper draws on preand post-election surveys to address the long run evolution of voting patterns in Israel from 1949 to 2019. The heterogeneous ethnic, cultural, educational, and religious backgrounds of Israelis created a range of political cleavages that evolved throughout its history and continue to shape its political climate and its society today. Despite Israel’s exceptional characteristics, we find similar patterns to those found for France, the UK and the US. Notably, we find that in the 1960s–1970s, the vote for left-wing parties was associated with lower social class voters. It has gradually become associated with high social class voters during the late 1970s and later. We also find a weak inter-relationship between inequality and political outcomes, suggesting that despite the social class cleavage, identity-based or “tribal” voting is still dominant in Israeli politics.
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