建筑安全评价中一种带有概率的模糊多准则群决策方法

Hongyan Liu, Feng Kong
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引用次数: 2

摘要

为了更准确地评价施工现场的安全状况,给出了施工现场安全状况的评价指标。将概率论和模糊群决策方法引入到工程评价中,提出了一种基于模糊群决策的综合评价方法。该方法采用层次分析法确定各专家的权重,并采用带有概率的模糊综合评价法对施工现场的安全状况进行评价。采用群体决策方法可以合理确定指标的权重和评价值。此外,将概率论与模糊评价方法结合起来进行评价,是对目前普遍采用的专家打分法的一种改进,可以更客观、更全面地反映安全生产状况
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A Fuzzy Multicriteria Group Decision Making Method With Probability For Construction Safety Evaluation
In order to appraise more accurately the safety conditions of construction sites, evaluation indexes for construction site safety conditions are given. By introducing probability theory and fuzzy group decision methods into construction evaluation, a comprehensive evaluation method based on fuzzy group decision making is put forward. This method applies AHP in determining weight of each expert and uses fuzzy comprehensive evaluation with probability to evaluate the safety conditions of construction sites. Weights and evaluation values of indexes could be reasonably determined when group decision making method is applied. Further, evaluation by means of connecting probability theory and fuzzy evaluation method together is an improvement over the prevalent method of scoring by experts, since safe production conditions could be reflected more objectively and completely
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