已实现波动估计的Edgeworth展开式的有效性

IF 2.9 4区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Econometrics Journal Pub Date : 2016-01-28 DOI:10.1111/ectj.12058
Ulrich Hounyo, Bezirgen Veliyev
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引用次数: 10

摘要

本文的主要贡献是建立了已实现波动估计的Edgeworth展开式的形式有效性。首先,在没有微观结构影响的情况下,我们的结果严格证明了gonalves和Meddahi (2009, Econometrica 77, 283-306)推导出的Edgeworth已实现波动率展开。其次,我们证明了Edgeworth展开式对已实现波动率的有效性可能不包括gonalves和Meddahi提出的最优两点分布野生自举。然后,我们提出了一种新的最优非格分布,保证了自举的二阶正确性。第三,在微观结构噪声存在的情况下,基于我们的Edgeworth展开,我们证明了Podolskij和Vetter (2009, Bernoulli 15,634 - 658)提出的预平均实现波动率估计器在没有噪声的情况下提出的新最优选择在噪声数据中仍然有效。最后,我们展示了如何使用这些Edgeworth展开式来构造集成波动率的置信区间。我们的蒙特卡罗模拟表明,相对于基于正态近似的常规区间,基于Edgeworth校正的区间改善了有限样本的性质。
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Validity of Edgeworth expansions for realized volatility estimators

The main contribution of this paper is to establish the formal validity of Edgeworth expansions for realized volatility estimators. First, in the context of no microstructure effects, our results rigorously justify the Edgeworth expansions for realized volatility derived in Gonçalves and Meddahi (2009, Econometrica 77, 283–306). Second, we show that the validity of the Edgeworth expansions for realized volatility might not cover the optimal two-point distribution wild bootstrap proposed by Gonçalves and Meddahi. Then, we propose a new optimal nonlattice distribution, which ensures the second-order correctness of the bootstrap. Third, in the presence of microstructure noise, based on our Edgeworth expansions, we show that the new optimal choice proposed in the absence of noise is still valid in noisy data for the pre-averaged realized volatility estimator proposed by Podolskij and Vetter (2009, Bernoulli 15, 634–658). Finally, we show how confidence intervals for integrated volatility can be constructed using these Edgeworth expansions for noisy data. Our Monte Carlo simulations show that the intervals based on the Edgeworth corrections have improved the finite sample properties relatively to the conventional intervals based on the normal approximation.

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来源期刊
Econometrics Journal
Econometrics Journal 管理科学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
5.30%
发文量
25
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Econometrics Journal was established in 1998 by the Royal Economic Society with the aim of creating a top international field journal for the publication of econometric research with a standard of intellectual rigour and academic standing similar to those of the pre-existing top field journals in econometrics. The Econometrics Journal is committed to publishing first-class papers in macro-, micro- and financial econometrics. It is a general journal for econometric research open to all areas of econometrics, whether applied, computational, methodological or theoretical contributions.
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