Bramantyo Herawanto, S. Suripin, Dyah ari Wulandari
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摘要

如果管理者不进行适当的维护,一直在运行的大坝很有可能发生故障。大坝需要正确的维护和操作,这将极大地影响大坝本身的安全。特别是对于长期运行的大坝,迫切需要进行包括维修和修复在内的重大维护活动,以避免面临自然灾害等最坏的情况。由于大坝一旦发生故障会造成很大的影响,因此有必要进行风险评估,对大坝的危害进行分析和评价。在Nglangon大坝进行的风险研究使用了事件树方法、传统的ICOLD方法和改进的ICOLD方法。基于传统方法和事件树方法的个体和群体极端概率分析结果,风险概率值高于可接受的风险值阈值1.00E-05,这意味着恩岗岗大坝需要采取进一步行动。这与ICOLD修改后的风险评估方法的结果一致,评级为III级(高),这意味着昂岗岗大坝被列入需要特别关注和纠正措施以降低昂岗岗大坝风险水平的大坝
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Penilaian Risiko Kegagalan Bendungan Dan Tindakan Pengurangan Risiko Pada Bendungan Nglangon
The dam failure that has been operating has a great potential to occur if the administrator does not carry out proper maintenance. Dams require proper and correct maintenance and operation which will greatly affect the safety of the dam itself. Especially for dams that have been operating for a long time, major maintenance activities including repairs and rehabilitation are urgently needed to avoid the worst conditions such as facing natural disasters. Because a dam can cause a large impact if it fails, it is necessary to have a risk assessment to analyze and evaluate the hazard of the dam. Risk research conducted at the Nglangon Dam uses the event tree method, traditional and modified ICOLD. Based on the results of individual and group extreme probability analysis, both traditional and event tree methods, the risk probability value is above the acceptable risk value threshold of 1.00E-05, which means that the Nglangon Dam requires further action. This is in line with the results of the ICOLD modified risk assessment method with classification III (high) which means that the Nglangon Dam is included in a dam that requires special attention and corrective actions to reduce the level of risk in the Nglangon Dam
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