澄清谣言公告对股票异常收益行为影响的事件研究

Javid Hatam, Maryam Bokharaeian Khorasani, A. Naderian, Jamadori Gorganli Doji
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究采用事件研究的方法,在德黑兰股票市场中考察了明确的谣言声明对股票异常收益行为度量的影响,以期更好地揭示股票异常收益行为。通过对2017-2019年期间169份澄清谣言声明进行检验,运用Spss 26版统计软件和Eviews 12版统计软件进行回归分析和相关检验,结果表明澄清谣言声明的内容可能会影响股票异常收益行为。正面谣言的确认在公告日10天后提高了股票异常收益的效率,而负面谣言的批准在公告日降低了股票异常收益的效率。同样,研究结果表明,如果在德黑兰股票市场的工作时间披露谣言(18 Iranian Journal of Finance, 2021, Vol. 5, No. 3 (Hatam, J.)),会降低当天股票异常收益的效率。通过对研究结果的比较,我们比以往任何时候都更需要对股东进行股权文化的教育和推广。他们还需要将注意力从关注谣言转移到有原则地投资期货股票,以避免横断面波动,破坏性谣言等市场风险,实现良好的回报股票。
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The Event Research in the Effect of Clear Rumor Declarations on Abnormal Stock Returns Behavior
In this research, the impact of clear rumor declarations on the measurement of abnormal stock returns behavior has been investigated in Tehran Stock Market by means of event research so that to reveal well abnormal stock returns behavior. Following testing 169 clear rumor declarations during the period (2017-2019), Using Spss statistical software version 26 and Eviews version 12, the results of regression analysis and correlation tests indicate that content of clear rumor declarations may affect abnormal stock returns behavior. Confirmation of good rumors has increased the efficiency of abnormal stock returns 10 days after the date of the given declaration and approval of bad rumors has led to reducing the efficiency of abnormal stock returns upon declaration day. Similarly, the results showed that if rumors were disclosed 18 Iranian Journal of Finance, 2021, Vol. 5, No. 3 (Hatam, J.) during working hours in Tehran Stock Market they would reduce the efficiency of abnormal stock returns on the same day. After comparing the results of the research, the need to educate and promote the shareholding culture among shareholders is felt more than ever before. They also need to shift their focus from focusing on rumors to principled investing in futures stocks to avoid cross-sectional fluctuations, destructive rumors and other market risks and achieve a good return stock.
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