投资基础-第二十五期成交量与牛熊周期

D. Joubert, A. F. Mason
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要关于市场行为和价格行为之间关系的四个基本假设,使一个完整的牛熊周期中成交量变化的描述性模型成为可能。人们发现,与常识相反,成交量的增加并不一定证实主导趋势。相反,当营业额在一段时间的持续上升或下降趋势后开始增加时,这很可能标志着该趋势的结束。这个事实可以用来预测趋势的变化。
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Investment Basics-XXV Volume and the Bull-Bear Cycle
ABSTRACTFour basic assumptions on the relationship between market behaviour and price action enable a descriptive model of changes in turnover during a complete bull-bear cycle. It is found, contrary to common wisdom, that an increase in volume does not necessarily confirm the ruling trend. Instead, when turnover begins to increase following a period of sustained rising or falling trend, it may well signal the end of that trend. This fact can be used to anticipate changes in the trend.
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