基于模糊认知图的矿井压力预测研究

Ye Li, Xiaohu Shi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

煤矿开采过程中矿井压力预测的研究是煤矿安全生产的关键技术保障。本文主要针对矿山压力预测的实际需求,提出了一种基于模糊认知图(fcm)的实用矿山压力预测模型。通过引入权值正则化和dropout正则化,提出了实数编码遗传算法(RCGA)来解决这一问题。研究了一个现场监测数据的数值算例。采用均方误差(MSE)和适应度函数对RCGA、正则化遗传算法(RGA)和Weight and Dropout RGA优化算法训练的MPP模型的适用性进行了评价。数值计算结果表明,所提出的Weight and Dropout RGA算法优于其他两种算法,实现了煤矿生产中矿井压力预测的要求。
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Mine Pressure Prediction Study Based on Fuzzy Cognitive Maps
The study on the prediction of mine pressure, while exploiting in coal mine, is a critical and technical guarantee for coal mine safety and production. In this paper, primarily due to the actual demand for the prediction of mine pressure, a practical prediction model Mine Pressure Prediction (MPP) was proposed based on fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs). The Real Coded Genetic Algorithm (RCGA) was proposed to solve the problem by introducing the weight regularization and dropout regularization. A numerical example involving in-situ monitoring data is studied. Mean Square Error (MSE) and fitness function were used to evaluate the applicability of MPP model which is trained by RCGA, Regularization Genetic Algorithm (RGA) and Weight and Dropout RGA optimization algorithms. The numerical results demonstrate that the proposed Weight and Dropout RGA is better than the other two algorithms, and realizing the requirement for prediction of mine pressure in the coal mine production.
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