涉及均值-方差-偏态-峰度的供应链:分析与协调

Juzhi Zhang, S. Sethi, T. Choi, T. Cheng
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引用次数: 42

摘要

经典的报贩问题寻求最小化预期库存成本或最大化预期利润。但是仅仅优化期望值并不能完全捕捉到报贩问题的随机特性。受金融文献中探索的高矩分析的启发,我们对报贩问题进行了均值-方差-偏度-峰度(MVSK)分析。我们首先推导了标准报摊环境下利润的均值、方差、偏度和峰度的解析表达式,并揭示了它们的结构性质。然后,我们建立了各种MVSK优化问题,并找到了每个问题的解。我们发现,峰度厌恶总是诱导报贩减少订购,而偏度寻求可以诱导报贩订购更多或更少,这取决于利润偏度的具体结构,这受需求分布的对称和不对称性质的影响。最后,基于帕累托最优概念,我们在两种具体情况下解决了存在MVSK代理时供应链协调(SCC)的挑战:(i)每个代理最大化其MVSK目标函数和(ii)每个代理最大化其预期利润函数,并受到利润方差、偏度和峰度的给定约束。在每种情况下,我们都会探讨供应链是否可以协调以及如何协调。研究发现,考虑供应链代理的MVSK偏好会影响供应链协调契约的可实现性和协调契约的灵活性。我们还发现,如果我们假设单个MVSK代理是MV代理,那么通过合同实现SCC的能力将受到非常负面的影响。
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Supply Chains Involving a Mean-Variance-Skewness-Kurtosis Newsvendor: Analysis and Coordination
The classical newsvendor problem seeks to minimize the expected inventory cost or maximize the expected profit. But optimizing an expected value alone does not fully capture the stochastic nature of the newsvendor problem. Inspired by the higher‐moment analyses explored in finance literature, we conduct a mean‐variance‐skewness‐kurtosis (MVSK) analysis for the newsvendor problem. We first derive the analytical expressions for the profit’s mean, variance, skewness, and kurtosis in the standard newsvendor setting, and reveal their structural properties. We then establish various MVSK optimization problems and find the solution to each of them. We show that kurtosis aversion always induces the newsvendor to order less, while skewness seeking can induce the newsvendor to order either more or less depending on the specific structure of the profit’s skewness, which is affected by the symmetric and asymmetric properties of the demand distribution. Finally, based on the Pareto‐optimality concept, we address the challenge of supply chain coordination (SCC) in the presence of MVSK agents in two specific cases: (i) each agent maximizes its MVSK‐objective‐function and (ii) each agent maximizes its expected profit function, subject to given constraints on the profit’s variance, skewness, and kurtosis. In each case, we explore whether and how the supply chain can be coordinated. We find that considering the MVSK preferences of supply chain agents will affect the achievability of SCC and flexibility of the coordinating contract. We also uncover that if we assume an individual MVSK agent to be an MV one, the achievability of SCC by contracts will be very much negatively affected.
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Supply Chain Performance with Target-Oriented Firms Supply Chains Involving a Mean-Variance-Skewness-Kurtosis Newsvendor: Analysis and Coordination Coordination of Multi-Echelon Supply Chains Using the Guaranteed Service Framework
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