利用人工智能进行短期负荷预测

Qiniso W. Luthuli, K. Folly
{"title":"利用人工智能进行短期负荷预测","authors":"Qiniso W. Luthuli, K. Folly","doi":"10.1109/POWERAFRICA.2016.7556585","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper presents a comparative study of short-term load forecasting using Artificial Intelligence (AI) and the conventional approach. A feed-forward, multilayer artificial neural network (ANN) was employed to provide a 24-hour load demand forecast. In this model, historical data, weather information, day types and special calendar days were considered. The forecasted results using AI were compared with those of conventional method. From the simulations it is found that the maximum forecasting percentage error for AI is approximately 5.5% as opposed to 15.96% for the conventional approach.","PeriodicalId":177444,"journal":{"name":"2016 IEEE PES PowerAfrica","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2016-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"21","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Short term load forecasting using artificial intelligence\",\"authors\":\"Qiniso W. Luthuli, K. Folly\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/POWERAFRICA.2016.7556585\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper presents a comparative study of short-term load forecasting using Artificial Intelligence (AI) and the conventional approach. A feed-forward, multilayer artificial neural network (ANN) was employed to provide a 24-hour load demand forecast. In this model, historical data, weather information, day types and special calendar days were considered. The forecasted results using AI were compared with those of conventional method. From the simulations it is found that the maximum forecasting percentage error for AI is approximately 5.5% as opposed to 15.96% for the conventional approach.\",\"PeriodicalId\":177444,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2016 IEEE PES PowerAfrica\",\"volume\":\"23 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2016-06-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"21\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2016 IEEE PES PowerAfrica\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/POWERAFRICA.2016.7556585\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2016 IEEE PES PowerAfrica","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/POWERAFRICA.2016.7556585","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 21

摘要

本文对利用人工智能(AI)和传统方法进行短期负荷预测进行了比较研究。采用前馈多层人工神经网络(ANN)进行24小时负荷需求预测。在该模型中,考虑了历史数据、天气信息、日类型和特殊日历日。并将人工智能预测结果与常规方法进行了比较。从模拟中发现,人工智能的最大预测百分比误差约为5.5%,而传统方法的预测百分比误差为15.96%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Short term load forecasting using artificial intelligence
This paper presents a comparative study of short-term load forecasting using Artificial Intelligence (AI) and the conventional approach. A feed-forward, multilayer artificial neural network (ANN) was employed to provide a 24-hour load demand forecast. In this model, historical data, weather information, day types and special calendar days were considered. The forecasted results using AI were compared with those of conventional method. From the simulations it is found that the maximum forecasting percentage error for AI is approximately 5.5% as opposed to 15.96% for the conventional approach.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊最新文献
Critical review of the Malawi community energy model Issues and applications of real-time data from off-grid electrical systems Multi objective dynamic economic emission dispatch with renewable energy and emissions Flexible distribution design in microgrids for dynamic power demand in low-income communities Secured access control architecture consideration for smart grids
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1