短时交通流预测在PSO-RBFNN研究中的价值

Shucai Song, Jianchen Liu, Aihua Qi, Yaohui Li, Mingzhan Zhao
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引用次数: 1

摘要

交通流数据具有非周期性、非线性和随机性,容易陷入局部最优、收敛速度慢等缺点,影响了算法的实用性和准确性。为此,本文提出了基于粒子群优化算法(PSO-RBFNN)的RBF神经网络进行交通流预测。该算法实现简单,操作简单,具有深厚的智能背景,对参数和连接权进行了优化,并利用优化后的RBF神经网络进行了短时交通流预测仿真。实例预测结果表明,与RBF预测模型相比,该模型具有更好的预测效果、更高的精度、更快的收敛速度。优化后的RBF神经网络适用于短时交通流预测。该方法具有较好的预测精度和推广价值。
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The value of short-time traffic flow prediction in the PSO-RBFNN study
Traffic flow data are un-periodical, nonlinear and stochastic, the practicability and accuracy are affected due to its drawbacks of falling into local optimization and low convergence rate. Thus, RBF neural network optimized by particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO-RBFNN) is proposed to predict traffic flow in the paper. Being easy to realize, simple to operate with profound intelligence background, the parameters and connection weight are optimized by the algorithm and short time traffic flow prediction is simulated by the optimized RBF Neural Network. The prediction results of the instance show that it has better prediction results, higher precision, faster convergence than that of RBF prediction model. The optimized RBF Neural Network is suitable for short time traffic flow prediction. The method has good prediction accuracy and popularization value.
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