基于市场策略对客户动态动态数学模型的最佳分析和控制

M. Farchan, F. Fatmawati, Cicik Alfiniyah
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引用次数: 2

摘要

客户动态包括客户和组织之间的信息交换和正在进行的交易。这个过程对公司经营其业务有重要作用,使客户数量增加。为了实现这一点,公司做了很多事情。其中一种策略是通过口碑进行产品广告。本文的目的是分析平衡点的稳定性,并将最优控制口碑广告应用于基于营销策略的客户动态数学模型。基于无控制营销策略的顾客动力学数学模型有两个平衡点,即非地方性均衡(E0)和地方性均衡(E1)。平衡的局部稳定性和地方性平衡的存在取决于基本繁殖数(R0)。当R0 < 1时,非地方性平衡趋于渐近稳定。用庞特里亚金极大值原理解决了最优控制问题。仿真结果表明,观察结束时,以口碑广告方式进行控制的推荐客户和固定客户总数分别为312和18470,控制努力成本为1798364.63。而在最后的观察中,没有以口碑广告的形式进行控制的推荐和固定客户总数分别为241和17260。基于这些结果表明,口碑广告的努力对增加推荐和固定客户的数量有效果,并按照提供最优控制的目标。
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Analisis Kestabilan dan Kontrol Optimal Model Matematika Dinamika Pelanggan Berdasarkan Kebijakan Pemasaran
Customer dynamics include the exchange of information and ongoing transactions between customers and the organization. This process has an important role in the company to run its business, so that the number of customers increase. To achieve this, many things are done by the company. One of the strategies is product advertising by word of mouth. The purpose of this thesis is to analyze the stability of equilibrium point and to apply the optimal control word of mouth advertising on mathematics model of the customer dynamics based on marketing policy. Mathematics model of the customer dynamics based on marketing policy without control has two equilibrium points, namely non – endemic equilibrium (E0) and endemic equilibrium (E1). Local stability of equilibrium and the existence of endemic equilibrium depends on basic reproduction number (R0). The non – endemic equilibrium tend to asymptotically stable if R0 < 1.  The problem of optimal control is solved by Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle. The simulation results show that the total number of referral and regular customer populations that are given control in the form of word of mouth advertising efforts at the end of the observation are 312 and 18470 with the control effort costs occurred in 1798364.63. While the total number of referral and regular customer populations that are not given control in the form of word of mouth advertising efforts at the end observation are 241 and 17260. Based on these results show that word of mouth advertising efforts have an effect to increase the number of referral and regular customer in accordance with the aim of providing optimal control.
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